Tim Gwynn Jones

Analyst, writer, and podcaster

United Kingdom

I'm a political and monetary-policy analyst, writer and podcast host. As a journalist-turned-analyst, I've been covering the EU and its markets for three decades.

In 1995, I was on the team that launched European Voice (acquired, rebranded and expanded as Politico Europe in 2015) with a beat covering economics, the transition to the euro, business, and trade. In 2002, I joined Medley Advisors as their “ECB watcher” and EU analyst, predicting policy responses to the 2008-13 financial crisis, the 2015 Greek and 2018 Italian political crises, Brexit, the coronavirus pandemic, and the Ukraine war.

Outside Medley, I write the twenty4two newsletter on Substack, host the In The Room podcast series, and interview authors for the New Books Network.

Contact me at [email protected].

Portfolio
A reckless look-ahead at 2024
12/31/2023
Cast a giant shadow

A BBC seasonal tradition is the Correspondents' Look Ahead into the new year. Once upon a time, the assembled journalists would make predictions but, in recent Decembers, a collective terror of being wrong has set in. Since irresponsibility is what New Year’s Eve is all about, I’m going to show them how it’s done. Here are my hero-or-zero predictions for 2024.

Medley Advisors
01/22/2024
ECB watching

ECB reports 2020-24 (email tim.jones@europe for access)

Substack
07/29/2023
twenty4two

“The events of tonight are a turning point in the history of Europe" (Emmanuel Macron, 24 February 2022). Agreed. My Twenty-Four Two newsletter analyses why, how and what next?

Political history podcast
06/18/2022
In The Room

Born out of a world war, the European communities/union grew through successive crises. In this series, I talk to behind-the-scenes officials who were In The Room as Europe evolved from a club of nations into a union.

New Books Network
Talking books

A few months into the pandemic, historian Marshall Poe – the founder of the New Books Network podcast consortium – kindly let me loose on any new books in European politics or economics that took my fancy.

Meloni points to a "third way" for Europe's far right
11/26/2023
The new Giorgian era

Picking through the wreckage of their 49-state shellacking at the hands of US president Ronald Reagan in 1984, a small band of centrist Democrats decided losing had stopped being fun. They founded the Democratic Leadership Council, spent the next seven years repositioning their party to appeal to voters outside the tribe, and won Bill Clinton two terms in the White House.

Orbán as Spinks, the neocon shuffle, and Lagarde baiting
02/04/2024
Notebook: May contain nuts

In June 1988, Mike Tyson and Michael Spinks met in Atlantic City for a fight between undefeated heavyweights. Hyped into the then-richest boxing match in history, this “Once and For All” battle to be fought over 12 thrilling rounds ended after just 90 seconds when Spinks was knocked out.Yes, it dates me but this is what popped into my mind when watching the two-month, 26-to-one standoff over EU aid to Ukraine that ended last week in Brussels.

The root and rout of French elite Russophilia
09/03/2022
End of the affair

The February 2022 invasion forced the Germans to pick a side; elevated Poland, the Baltics, and Nordics into an emergent joint alternative power; and transformed Ukraine into an unstable military giant on the EU’s eastern order. France had to adapt or die.

POLITICO
01/07/1995
European Voice

I wrote a lot of copy for European Voice (most of it from 1995-2000 - and some of it pretty good) that Politico has inexplicably archived.