Tim Gwynn Jones

Analyst, writer, and podcaster

United Kingdom

I'm a political and monetary-policy analyst, writer and podcast host. As a journalist-turned-analyst, I've been covering the EU and its markets for three decades.

In 1995, I was on the team that launched European Voice (acquired, rebranded and expanded as Politico Europe in 2015) with a beat covering economics, the transition to the euro, business, and trade. In 2002, I joined Medley Advisors as their “ECB watcher” and EU analyst, predicting policy responses to the 2008-13 financial crisis, the 2015 Greek and 2018 Italian political crises, Brexit, the coronavirus pandemic, and the Ukraine war.

Outside Medley, I write and podcast on Europe at twentyfourtwo.substack.com.

Twitter: @timjgwynnjones
Bluesky: @timgwynnjones.bsky.social
Contact: [email protected]

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Portfolio
How Trump corrupts the conservative mind
11/03/2024
De-Niall

Predictable as it was, Niall Ferguson’s almost-support for a Donald Trump victory in Tuesday’s US presidential election is still crushingly disappointing to this fan of his approach to history.

In the room at the Fed
08/05/2024
The Chair

More than any other global institution, the US Federal Reserve’s decisions and communications drive capital markets and alter financial conditions everywhere from Seattle to Seoul. In this podcast series, I talk to authors of books about the Fed's most influential Chairs, starting with Marriner Eccles, Bill Martin, Arthur Burns, and Paul Volcker.

Political history podcast
06/18/2022
In The Room

Born out of a world war, the European communities/union grew through successive crises. In this series, I talk to behind-the-scenes officials who were In The Room as Europe evolved from a club of nations into a union.

Macron is dead, long live "Macronism"
Palace coup in Paris

Emmanuel Macron’s presidency is over. He still commands the armed forces – although not their budget – and is France’s chief diplomat, but his seven-year rule ended even before the results of the two-round legislative election came in.

Meloni points to a "third way" for Europe's far right
11/26/2023
The new Giorgian era

Like the Walloons, we could apply a watertight cordon sanitaire to keep them out of public life but that’s never worked outside Wallonia. Besides, who gets to decide what is and isn’t a political programme fit for media or parliament? Majoritarian systems like the US and UK are more vulnerable to unconstrained authoritarianism but, in pure or partial proportional systems, cursing extremists with governing beats turning them into martyrs.

Europe's peace project goes to war
03/03/2024
And yet it moves

Revolutions have four symptomatic stages, wrote historian Crane Brinton – the Doctor House of social upheaval. Stage one is incubation, followed by moderation, crisis, and (a more or less healthy) recovery.

POLITICO
01/07/1995
European Voice

I wrote a lot of copy for European Voice (most of it from 1995-2000 - and some of it pretty good) that Politico has inexplicably archived.